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Antigenic shift and pandemics

Why can influenza A cause pandemics while influenza B does not?

Explanation

Key fact
Shift needs two things: an animal reservoir and a segmented genome. Influenza A has both; influenza B has neither.

Animal reservoirs plus a segmented genome allow antigenic shift. A wholly new surface protein appears, and nobody has immunity to it.

Why

Influenza has eight separate RNA segments.

If two different strains infect one cell, segments can be swapped - reassortment.

That needs a second strain, which comes from birds or pigs.

Influenza A infects birds, pigs, horses and humans; influenza B is essentially human only.

The result is a virus with a completely new haemagglutinin - antigenic shift.

With no population immunity, a pandemic follows.

Drift against shift

On the left antigenic drift shown as a virus particle whose surface spikes change gradually through small point mutations, causing seasonal epidemics; on the right antigenic shift shown as a human strain and an avian strain infecting one cell and exchanging genome segments to produce a wholly new virus, causing a pandemic

Why not the others

Remember
Drift is a small change, shift is a swap. Drift needs a new vaccine each year; shift needs a new vaccine altogether.

Go deeper

The 2009 pandemic was H1N1, a quadruple reassortant containing avian, swine and human segments; the pig is the classic mixing vessel because it has receptors for both avian and human viruses.

H5N1 and H7N9 avian strains cause severe human disease but have not acquired efficient human-to-human transmission, which is the remaining barrier to a pandemic.

Influenza C causes mild illness and influenza D infects cattle; neither is a pandemic threat.

Park K. Park's Textbook of Preventive and Social Medicine, 28th ed. (Bhanot, 2025); Ananthanarayan and Paniker's Textbook of Microbiology, 11th ed. (Universities Press, 2020).

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